BaldwinCommercial Blog

…commercial real estate topics.

Archive for November 2008

Key Index Data

without comments

We thought a few additional economic indices might be of use, and as requested.

Key Economic Rates

6-Month CDs 3.13 Jul 2008
Moody’s Baa 7.16 Jul 2008
Consumer Confidence 51.90 Jul 2008
Sources: Federal Reserve Board, The Conference Board

Selected NCREIF Returns

East Industrial Income Return 6.39 2Q08
West Industrial Income Return 5.55 2Q08
Midwest Retail Total Return 10.27 2Q08
Source: NCREIF

Selected RERC Survey Data

Nat. Neigh/Comm IRR 8.50 2Q08
Nat. Apartment IRR 8.30 2Q08
Nat. Sub Off Terminal 7.60 2Q08
Source: RERC

Selected Transaction Data

Midwest Hotel W.Avg $/Unit $122,812 2Q08
Midwest Industrial W.Avg $/SF $54 2Q08
National Retail W.Avg $/SF $153 2Q08
Unemployment Rate                                                                                                                                           6.5%


Written by Scott A. Baldwin

November 12, 2008 at 3:27 am

Indy Metro Investment Criteria 3Q 2008

without comments

Capitalization rates have increased, in most all asset classes, for the Indy Metro Market.  We had been watching the multi-family investment criteria closely but it has also softened in the third quarter.

Indianapolis

3Q 2008
Indianapolis Investment Criteria
Pre-Tax Yield (%) Going-In Cap Rate (%) Terminal Cap Rate (%)
RERC
Estimate
Midwest
Region
US RERC
Estimate
Indianapolis
Survey
Midwest
Region
US RERC
Estimate
Midwest
Region
US
CBD 9.6 10.2 9.4 7.7 9.0 8.1 7.5 8.4 8.8 8.2
Suburban 9.8 10.1 9.6 8.0 9.0 8.2 7.8 8.6 8.8 8.4
Warehouse 9.2 9.9 9.3 7.8 8.5 8.2 7.6 8.3 8.8 8.3
R&D 9.4 10.3 9.7 8.0 9.0 8.6 8.0 8.5 9.2 8.6
Flex 9.5 9.5 9.6 8.0 9.0 8.0 7.9 8.6 8.7 8.5
Regional Mall 9.0 9.5 9.1 7.4 8.0 7.5 7.3 8.0 8.2 8.0
Power Center 9.4 9.6 9.4 7.8 8.5 7.8 7.6 8.4 8.4 8.2
Neigh/Comm. 9.7 10.3 9.5 8.1 9.0 8.4 7.8 8.6 9.0 8.5
Apartment 9.0 9.3 8.8 7.1 8.0 7.3 7.0 7.8 7.9 7.7
Hotel 10.4 11.1 10.6 8.9 11.0 9.3 8.8 9.5 9.7 9.4
Average 9.5 10.0 No Data 7.9 8.9 8.1 No Data 8.5 8.8 No Data

Written by Scott A. Baldwin

November 12, 2008 at 3:12 am

Indy Metro Transactions 3Q 2008

without comments

Indianapolis, IN Transaction Data – 3Q 2008 – 12 Month Trailing
< $5 million > $5 million All Midwest Regional Total National Total
Office
Volume (millions) $15 $204 $218 $10,561 $97,521
Size-Weighted Avg. ($/SF) $46 $102 $94 $130 $241
Price-Weighted Avg. ($/SF) $75 $108 $105 $174 $456
Median ($/SF) $84 $128 $97 $107 $151
Industrial
Volume (millions) $4 $187 $191 $5,859 $32,117
Size-Weighted Avg. ($/SF) $41 $41 $41 $52 $71
Price-Weighted Avg. ($/SF) $43 $44 $44 $133 $126
Median ($/SF) $52 $44 $45 $50 $75
Retail
Volume (millions) $13 $75 $87 $5,728 $33,944
Size-Weighted Avg. ($/SF) $137 $112 $115 $140 $160
Price-Weighted Avg. ($/SF) $201 $152 $159 $348 $387
Median ($/SF) $116 $190 $147 $104 $137
Apartment
Volume (millions) - $405 $411 $5,445 $58,388
Size-Weighted Avg. ($/unit) - $49,241 $49,147 $65,744 $100,771
Price-Weighted Avg. ($/unit) - $54,793 $54,637 $96,998 $190,045
Median ($/unit) - $42,849 $42,849 $49,716 $83,925
Hotel
Volume (millions) - $119 $122 $3,265 $33,090
Size-Weighted Avg. ($/unit) - $151,490 $144,848 $143,431 $220,033
Price-Weighted Avg. ($/unit) - $165,603 $162,702 $282,148 $629,828
Median ($/unit) - $134,318 $134,318 $60,909 $104,651
Source: RERC

Written by Scott A. Baldwin

November 12, 2008 at 3:04 am